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sdadasdassadsad
Markets
Available outcomes
Option A
Fee 2.00%
Option B
Fee 2.00%
Rules
If sdadasdassadsad resolves as specified by Predictum governance, winners will receive payouts.
Base
USDC
Quote
USDC
Fee
2.00 bps
Resolves
3/15/2026, 10:22:00 PM
Settlement sources
Sources will be published closer to resolution.
How Are Prices Calculated?
Predictum quotes probabilities using the midpoint of the current bid/ask spread for each outcome. If that spread widens beyond $0.10, we fall back to the most recent trade price.
Initial Price
Markets start with zero liquidity. When opposing limit orders cross and sum to $1.00 (for example a YES bid at $0.60 and a NO bid at $0.40), the trade mints one share on each side and sets the opening price.
Future Price
Subsequent prices move with supply and demand, just like an exchange order book. The displayed probability is the midpoint between the best bid and best ask (or the last trade when spreads are wide).
This means a displayed price of 37% reflects a 34¢ bid and 40¢ ask. Tight spreads provide more precise probabilities, while wider spreads signal thinner liquidity.